Baccarat Strategy – How to Win at Baccarat

The Flat Betting Strategy

A flat betting strategy is a simple bankroll management system in baccarat, where players use the same amount of bet on each hand, regardless of prior outcomes. Therefore, whether you lose or win, the size of your base bet remains the same in the next bet. You can calculate your flat bets in three different ways:

• Basic flat betting: You use the exact amount on each round, e.g. 5. While it reduces the chances of a losing streak, the profit margin is slightly low.
• Modified flat betting: Here, players adjust the bet slightly, depending on the game’s changing rules. For example, increase the bet by 5 each time you win a baccarat game and revert to the original flat bet size after a loss.
• Fixed Ratio betting: You use a percentage or ratio to calculate how much your flat bet will be – for example, 2% of your bankroll on each hand. Therefore, the actual size of the bet adjusts as your bankroll increases or decreases, but the percentage value remains the same.

The Martingale Strategy

The Martingale system for baccarat is one of the best ways to win more, especially if you are on a winning streak. This progressive strategy involves players doubling their bet each time they lose. The main aim is to use winning bets to recover lost bets.

For example:

If you make a base bet of £20 and lose, your next bet size should be £40. If you lose again, your next bet will be £60. Once you win, revert to the original £20 bet.

The Paroli System

The Paroli system or reverse martingale system, focuses on positive progression and might be one of the safest bet options. Therefore, you double your bet each time you win and revert to your initial bet whenever you lose.

For example:

If your first bet is £10 and you win, you will double your bet and place a £20 stake on the next round. If you hit a win again, you will double your bet size to £40. You will continue doubling until your winning streaks are over or when you hit 3 consecutive wins. When you lose, start the process again and bet a £10.

Fibonacci Sequence Strategy

This is another popular baccarat strategy, especially amongst pro casino players. It is based on the Fibonacci sequence, whereby each number is the sum of the two prior numbers. So it appears like this:

1, 1, 2, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34 and so on.

So when placing a bet on baccarat, you will increase your wager following this sequence after each loss. However, if you win, you should move back two numbers.

For example:

You start your game and bet on the banker hand with 1. If you lose the bet, you will stake 1 again, as the fibonacci system indicates. If you lose again, you will bet 2. Another loss means you will bet 3. However if you win, you will go back to betting 1, which is two steps from 3.

Pro: This strategy for baccarat helps you recover your losses and stretch your bankroll for more rounds. No wonder UK baccarat players use it on football sports betting and roulette strategies.

Con: If you have a small bankroll, you have to work with the minimum bet, to avoid breaking bank.

 Labouchere System

Labouchere system is a slightly complex baccarat strategy. It uses a specific series of numbers to determine the stake amount. You add the leftmost and the rightmost numbers to determine your bet.

• If you win, you cross off the numbers and move to the second leftmost and rightmost numbers.
• If you lose, you add the size of the lost bet to the rightmost side of the numbers sequence.

Fixed Labouchere system

You start by deciding how much you wish to win, on 6 to 10 rounds. If the amount is more than 10, divide the bet by 10 to get a single number. Finally, you will write the series of numbers.

For example:

If yu wish to win 100 and your bankroll is 500, you will start by dividing 100 by 10 and writing the number 10 times. In this case, it will be 10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10

The value of the first bet will be 10 + 10 = 20. If you win, cross the last tens off; if you lose, add 20.

Moderate Laborche baccarat strategy

You create a random number sequence, such as 1, 5, 10, 15, or 20. If you win, you still cross off the first and last numbers, and if you lose, you add your previous bet to the end of the sequence.

Pro: Players can plan how much each hand will cost and prepare before the game starts.

Con: It might not be a good long-term strategy, especially for low bankrollers.

The D’Alembert Strategy

The D’Alembert strategy is a baccarat system that involves chasing losses using larger bets. It is a high-risk strategy for winning at Baccarat and is best recommended for high rollers.

Players increase their bet by a specific value after a loss and decrease the wager by that particular amount after a win. However, if the round ends on a TIE bet, the size of your stake remains the same.

Pro: You can recover your losses at some point.

Con: It might deplete your bankroll.

Card Counting in Baccarat

Card counting may be effective in blackjack. However, you will require extra keenness to notice baccarat patterns in a game. Knowing whether the cards left on the deck are high or low gives you a statistical advantage. There are two major things to remember when card counting in baccarat:

• A deck rich in high-value cards is good for the Player’s bet.
• A deck rich in low-value cards is good for the Banker bet.

Playing the baccarat strategy with real money while card counting requires paying attention to the card shoe and all the cards being dropped on the table.

1. Write your Running Card Count to 0 as a new shoe starts.
2. As different cards of the identical shoe are being exposed, add the following values:

• Add 0 – For cards with 0 or 9 points.
• Add 1+ – For cards with 1 to 4 points.
• Subtract 1 – for cards with 5 to 8 points.

Depending on the Running Count, you will make a Banker bet or a Player bet. Remember that this card counting strategy only applies to instances when only one shoe is being used.

Here is how to win baccarat using card counting:

• If the Running count is 4 or less, it would be best to bet on the Player.
• If the Running count is 4 or more, it would be best to bet on the Banker.

Note that different games have different deck of cards. For instance, baccarat banque is played with 3 decks. However, Chemin de fer must have 6 to 8 decks.

Probability theory in baccarat casinos

Probability theory is all about comparing your strategy to the odds of winning and the odds of payout. Whether you are playing traditional Punto banco or contemporary baccarat games, considering your odds is a wise strategy to win.

To make the best decision, based on probability, you need to factor in:

1. The minimum and maximum bet amount per round.
2. Baccarat odds and presence of any side bet.
3. The highest and lowest house edge possible.
4. All the betting options present and potential wins.
5. Your favourite baccarat winning strategy.

A table representing different baccarat payout cheat sheet, odds and bets.

Online Baccarat Simulators and Apps

Baccarat simulations use advanced mathematical logarithms to analyse your past baccarat bets and use the data collected to analyse your probation of winning in future hands. Some popular software include:

• Baccarat Pro – A user-friendly interface that uses proprietary algorithms to analyse data.
• Baccarat Master – A seamless software that uses artificial intelligence (AI) to analyse the game’s data.
• Baccarat Predictor – A simple simulator that uses mathematical algorithms to analyse prior baccarat bets and record patterns.

Educational Resources and Communities

You’d be surprised that there are dozens of books on Baccarat strategy. You will also find tones of studies about Baccarat on educational websites. The more books and reports you study, the better odds you have for finding a winning strategy that works for you.

It also helps to visit or join baccarat gambling communities online. You will find a lot of helpful information by checking what UK casino players in forums have to say. For example, if there are strategies you want to know more about, joining a community

Debunking Common Myths

Myth 1: The banker bets always win

While the Banker’s hand has a lower house edge, many players get bored betting on it repeatedly. Furthermore, the Banker’s hand is subject to a 5% commission. Most importantly, Baccarat is a game of chance, and sometimes, the Player’s Hand wins! Therefore, it is okay to occasionally bet on the Player, especially after the Banker has been on a winning streak.

Myth 2: Betting systems guarantee a win

While the baccarat betting strategies in this guide can increase your probability of winning, it all comes down to how you calculate and when you implement your moves. Many factors affect whether your baccarat betting strategy will work and how much you will win:

• The house edge.
• How far did the current session (in live baccarat) play out before you joined the table?
• How many decks of cards are being used to play baccarat?

Reality of Baccarat

There is no perfect baccarat strategy. If gamblers could win each round, casinos would go out of business. Therefore, no matter the strategy you are using, always remember to gamble responsibly and avoid increasing your wagers aggressively.

House edge is the most critical aspect of any baccarat betting strategy. The number of decks in the game can significantly impact your odds of winning.

• Fewer decks have better odds for the Banker bet and a lower house-edge. (1.06%)
• More decks give better odds to the Player’s hand, but the house edge is higher. (1.07%).

Most online baccarat games have their RTP indicated. Check the game’s paytable to know the Return to Player rate. If you are a beginner or unsure about your bet, avoid side bets, as they often increase the house edge and lower the RTP.

To sum it up, there is no perfect cheat sheet to make you win all your bets. However, the more you practise, the closer you know the best strategy for you.